Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2921.277443 3158.747078 3399.500423 3661.534396 3938.364742 4221.805538 4533.622228
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2520.823216 2872.241508 3242.051511 3658.985102 4114.712198 4596.478966 5143.021613
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2306.356539 2731.196039 3190.571098 3721.660562 4316.138996 4958.512909 5702.506683
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2090.576558 2560.959693 3081.737767 3696.908227 4399.451849 5172.554652 6083.300496
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1975.321115 2490.506220 3072.368987 3772.111466 4584.513560 5491.829706 6575.371239
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1848.559113 2395.181202 3024.232968 3793.413133 4700.052418 5726.328491 6967.102959
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1728.941288 2299.140341 2967.052975 3796.541050 4788.044369 5924.297040 7313.469702
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1565.344444 2139.576175 2824.848406 3689.743705 4738.552187 5955.660241 7460.588711
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1530.104551 2135.600186 2868.424085 3804.579169 4951.982692 6295.867318 7971.328141
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1479.139279 2108.067301 2879.976235 3877.873813 5113.787258 6574.390778 8409.948414
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1398.424870 2037.810362 2834.247646 3876.782399 5182.070841 6739.029614 8711.767039
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1312.221634 1955.845135 2769.627805 3848.253991 5213.363752 6856.634598 8955.519802
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1257.475307 1914.117927 2755.942556 3884.619090 5327.186782 7078.150621 9330.836172
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1189.852252 1851.863727 2712.997001 3881.431393 5390.053763 7236.834704 9630.416613
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1154.714298 1832.009055 2724.098240 3946.921660 5539.399729 7502.840163 10063.425269
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1087.017871 1763.486164 2667.437077 3921.057925 5569.692931 7618.906204 10310.047139
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1062.855263 1754.988923 2690.442804 3999.631937 5734.471638 7904.368493 10769.313209
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1020.036863 1717.608504 2672.320188 4021.885243 5825.098909 8095.877862 11111.434613
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 973.323049 1672.322164 2641.357491 4025.152783 5889.626262 8253.612897 11411.189165
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 891.244398 1570.934639 2528.579744 3913.571359 5799.112708 8210.002904 11453.216027
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 888.833389 1588.952516 2584.192593 4033.549567 6017.843749 8566.537984 12008.258606
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 872.918334 1585.501155 2608.613890 4110.105742 6178.652283 8848.934364 12470.082271
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 834.118611 1545.007660 2578.258945 4108.965878 6233.790461 8993.402440 12754.731697